Figure ES-2 shows the overall capital cost for a 4-hour battery system based on those projections, with storage costs of $147/kWh, $243/kWh, and $339/kWh in 2035 and $108/kWh, $178/kWh, and $307/kWh in 2050 (values in 2024$).
The 4-hour cost projections in this report are much lower in 2024 primarily due to the updated initial cost from the bottom-up cost model used in this work. The lower costs persist through 2050 because of that lower starting point. Table 2. Values from Figure 3 and Figure 4, which show the normalized and absolute storage costs over time.
Around the beginning of this year, BloombergNEF (BNEF) released its annual Battery Storage System Cost Survey, which found that global average turnkey energy storage system prices had fallen 40% from 2023 numbers to US$165/kWh in 2024.
Storage costs are overnight capital costs for a complete 4-hour battery system. Figure 9. Comparison of cost projections developed in this report (solid lines) against the values from the 2023 cost projection report (Cole and Karmakar 2023) (dashed lines). Figure 10.
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