To reduce this financial gap and manage the decrease of PV costs, the Chinese government published the Notice on matters of PV power generation in 2018, which is referred to as the “531” policy, reducing the subsidies for PV from 0.36 CNY/kWh to 0.32 CNY/kWh.
Figure 4 presents PV module prices in various countries under global and national scenarios from 2024 to 2030. In the 2030 global scenario, PV module prices are projected to be 0.14 USD/W in the United States, 0.61CNY/W in China, 0.09 EUR/W in the EU, and 23.97 JPY/W in Japan.
Meanwhile, the costs of manufacturing PV panels have dropped dramatically, with the cost of the commercial PV modules declining from 1.7 USD/W in 2011 to 0.2 USD/W in 2020 . In some countries, PV have even become the cheapest option for new electricity production plants .
R&D, both public and private, was a key driver of module cost reduction historically and can be valuable going forward in improving module efficiency and reducing materials use. Improvements to module efficiency in particular would help cut the per-watt cost of all cost components of PV modules (as well as PV systems).
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