For China, based on a single base station power''s energy consumption of 11.5 KWh (Huawei, 2019), we estimate that the electricity consumed by its 5G network by 2030 will be 6.04 × 10 5 GW for 6 million base stations, the equivalents of 8.4 % of China''s national total power generation in 2019, respectively.
Under the model predicted 5G base stations, China''s 5G network could yield 0.15–0.29 GtCO2 /yr emissions subject to the nation''s BDDL from 40 to 80 % by 2030. Both 5G base stations and CO 2 emissions are significantly lower than the previous estimates.
Under the scenario of business-estimated six million base stations in 2030, the share of electricity consumed by China''s 5G networks in 2030 could reach 8.4 % of the national total power generation, causing 0.44 GtCO2 /yr CO 2 emissions.
Given that China currently has the largest 5G network in the world (∼1.53 million base stations by the end of 2021, Table S1) and that base station number was projected by up to 6–8 million by 2030 (CCID Consulting, 2020), concerns are being expressed regarding 5G mobile networks'' environmental effects and sustainability.
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